Recommended as Stock of the Week on October 31, 2025

Tradeweb Markets - Focus on profit margin expansion and global growth

TickerTW.NASDAQ
Recommended Price105.39 USD
Current Price 105.39 USD
Tradeweb Markets Inc – stock chart

Scores at time of recommendation (October 31, 2025)

Leeway Score
76/100
Excellent
Business Rating
80/100
Excellent
Market-Fit Rating
71/100
Excellent
Cycle Rating
78/100
Excellent

More about our scores in Help

5-year stock timeline

Apr 29, 2021

Reported Q1 2021 results with quarterly revenue of $273.4M. Management highlighted sustained momentum and average daily volumes exceeding $1 trillion during the quarter [1]. The market began pricing Tradeweb as a clear beneficiary of accelerated electronification, with the growth story reinforced by high ADV and product breadth. Post-earnings momentum continued as investors rewarded the "network + automation" thesis [1].

Jun 25, 2021

Completed acquisition of Nasdaq's U.S. fixed-income electronic trading platform (eSpeed / Nasdaq Fixed Income) for $190M. The transaction positioned Tradeweb to expand in on-the-run U.S. Treasury CLOBs and was expected to be immediately accretive to adjusted earnings [9], [6]. Perception shifted from a "rates-first" electronification play to a multi-protocol consolidator with optionality in U.S. Treasuries. Investors began re-rating the optional expansion into wholesale CLOB liquidity. The stock set up for a breakout on the strategic-acquisition narrative, combining accretive economics with visible near-term revenue and market-structure upside [9].

Full-Year 2021 (reported Feb 2022)

Revenue surpassed $1.0B for the first time, marking the 22nd consecutive year of revenue growth. Double-digit growth was achieved across rates, credit and equities [2], [7]. This reinforced the "compounder" story—proof that secular electronification and an expanding product mix (rates, credit, ETFs, market data) were driving durable top-line scale. Fundamentals converged with a clearer multi-asset growth narrative, sustaining the uptrend [2].

2022 (full year)

Reported FY-2022 revenue of approximately $1.189B with adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to approximately 51.9%. Q4 2022 revenue reached approximately $293M and the company achieved record shares in fully electronic U.S. high-grade TRACE. The quarterly dividend was raised to $0.09 [10], [12]. SEC and global market-structure proposals alongside LIBOR transition dynamics drove industry debate about electronification and venue rules, noted as an ongoing structural tailwind [12]. Investors saw resilience, with the company positioned to capture share as volatility and regulation pushed more flows electronic. The narrative broadened to include automation (AiEX/AiPrice) and market-data monetization. The stock traded in a range with gradual upward bias, supported by margin expansion and capital returns through buybacks and dividend increases [10], [12].

Dec 2022 – Strategic partnerships and product expansion

Announced strategic partnerships, including integration of Tradeweb credit trading and data into BlackRock's Aladdin platform. Continued rollout of automation and market-data products (AiEX, AiPrice) accelerated adoption across all client channels [12]. The narrative shifted from "electronification beneficiary" to "workflow/automation partner," with perception of longer-duration growth via data and platform embeds. Constructive consolidation reflected investor confidence in recurring revenue and ecosystem partnerships.

Jan 1, 2023 (leadership transition)

Billy Hult assumed the CEO role with Lee Olesky transitioning to Chairman. NFI integration work was underway, expected to accelerate the Treasury product roadmap [12]. The market digested internal succession as low-risk, with investor confidence supported by integration plans and continued product cadence. A post-succession relief rally reflected "business-as-usual" momentum.

2024 (full year)

Reported meaningful acceleration with full-year revenue growth of approximately 29% to approximately $1.7B. The company emphasized market-share gains, international expansion and product diversification [25]. The market increasingly viewed Tradeweb as a cross-asset electronic market infrastructure compounder with scale advantages in data and automated execution. Strong momentum validated the long-term thesis through top-line and margin expansion [25].

2025 (volumes and execution)

Continued record volumes and execution metrics throughout 2025. Monthly data and ADV records were reported; 4Q25 revenue reached approximately $521.2M, up 12.5% year-over-year [23], [24]. Investor focus broadened to international growth and ETF/credit automation as material contributors. The view shifted toward "multi-engine growth" rather than a single-product story. The chart showed higher highs with intermittent consolidations as investors rotated between growth and cash return themes [23], [24].

Apr 29, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Reported record Q1 2026 revenue of $617.8M, up 21.2% year-over-year and 17.5% in constant currency. Adjusted EBITDA margin reached approximately 55.0% and adjusted diluted EPS was $1.08. International revenue totaled approximately $274.1M, up 29.4% year-over-year [20], [17], [18]. The Board raised the quarterly dividend to $0.14 and continued share repurchases. Market reaction confirmed the "scale + international + automation" thesis, with Tradeweb increasingly framed as a high-quality compounder with improving margins and active capital return. Analysts emphasized swaps, ETFs and cross-border growth as primary drivers. Post-earnings consolidation reflected typical profit-taking, though the underlying trend remained bullish. The current market price as of July 11, 2026 stands at 97.86.

Key Points

From recommendation (October 31, 2025)

  • Profit margins rise from 28.9% to a forecast 35.1% over the next three years - an impressive increase of 6.2 percentage points
  • International sales grow by 25% annually, emerging market sales have almost tripled to over 100 million since 2023 USD
  • Digital asset initiatives drive 50%+ growth in 'Other Revenue' segment, new electronic swaption trading platform launches
  • Over 500 million for three quarters in a row USD quarterly sales, 21% growth since the beginning of the year with historically low volatility

Investment Thesis

From recommendation (October 31, 2025)

As an operator of electronic trading platforms, Tradeweb is benefiting from several growth drivers at the same time: the ongoing digitalization of bond trading, international expansion and new product categories such as digital assets are ensuring continued strong growth. The expected margin expansion to 35.1%, driven by high-margin business areas and economies of scale, is particularly impressive.

Key risks and downside factors

Tradeweb Markets operates global electronic marketplaces for fixed-income, rates and derivatives. Its competitive landscape spans specialist fixed-income venues, large exchange groups and interdealer brokers—with public competitors including MarketAxess, ICE, CME, LSEG, Cboe and BGC. Private fintechs and data/execution providers like Bloomberg L.P., Trumid, Liquidnet and Zanbato also compete for institutional flow. The company's transaction-fee model ties revenue directly to trading volumes and market volatility, creating exposure to regulatory shifts and operational or cyber risk.

  • Competition risk stems from market-share erosion and fee compression, driven by specialist electronic fixed-income venues, integrated exchanges (MarketAxess, Bloomberg, ICE, CME, LSEG), and interdealer brokers.
  • Transaction-fee revenue and margins move in lockstep with institutional trading volumes and market volatility. Prolonged periods of low activity would compress revenues materially.
  • Regulatory risk: Changes to trading-venue rules, mandatory clearing requirements, trade reporting standards, or antitrust enforcement could materially increase compliance costs or constrain product offerings.
  • Operational and cybersecurity risks pose real threats: outages and latency failures can disrupt trading activity, while cyberattacks risk damaging client relationships and exposing the firm to fines and contractual liabilities.

Competitive landscape

Tradeweb operates as a global multi-asset electronic marketplace spanning rates, credit, equities, and money markets. It competes across execution, post-trade services, and market data analytics. The competitive landscape includes specialist fixed-income venues and exchange groups offering integrated trading, clearing, and data services, alongside private competitors in terminal data and all-to-all credit platforms. The business carries real exposure to dealer concentration and volume sensitivity, while regulatory shifts and competitive moves can materially reshape economics. Technology and third-party data dependencies present operational risk, and the push into digital assets remains an unproven vector.

Private competitors

  • Bloomberg L.P.
  • Trumid
  • Liquidnet

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Catalysts

From recommendation (October 31, 2025)

  • Renewal of the LSEG market data agreement for three years with 9% annual sales growth
  • Further product launches in digital assets and fully electronic trading systems
  • Acceleration of international expansion, particularly in emerging markets and the APAC region
  • Possible market volatility would significantly increase trading volumes and thus turnover

Analysis

From recommendation (October 31, 2025)

Tradeweb has exceptionally strong network effects - the more traders use the platform, the more valuable it becomes for all participants. This natural barrier makes it virtually impossible for new competitors to attract enough buyers and sellers at the same time. The customer base remains crystal clear, as trading in fixed-income securities remains a core function of institutional investors - even in times of crisis. The high switching costs due to deep integration into trading systems and regulatory requirements further strengthen the protection. While trading volumes can fluctuate, Tradeweb is steadily gaining market share thanks to increasing electronification.

Performance Figures of Tradeweb Markets Inc

in USD

1M High / Low
104.73 / 91.42
52W High / Low
147.49 / 91.42
5Y High / Low
152.65 / 51.47
1M
-0.82%
3M
-14.37%
6M
-4.53%
1Y
-25.33%
3Y
+47.23%
5Y
+20.82%

Relative Performance vs Benchmarks

PeriodTradeweb Markets Inc vs DAX vs S&P 500 (SPY)
1M -0.82% -0.84% -1.68%
3M -14.37% -15.23% -20.93%
6M -4.53% -3.02% -14.24%
1Y -25.33% -29.10% -47.59%
3Y +47.23% -7.83% -26.56%
5Y +20.82% -39.51% -66.42%

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Historical valuation trends

How the company’s key valuation ratios (P/E, P/S, P/B and P/CF) have evolved over time compared to today.

PeriodP/E RatioP/S RatioP/B RatioP/CF Ratio
Current24.79.93.217.7
1Y ago51.714.94.927.7
3Y ago44.112.12.821.3
5Y ago82.618.13.936.8

Frequently Asked Questions

From recommendation (October 31, 2025)

Is Tradeweb Markets Inc a good investment?

Tradeweb Markets Inc has a Leeway Score of 76.2/100, which is rated as Excellent. The Leeway Score combines business quality, fundamental evaluation, and valuation cycle into a comprehensive assessment. A higher score indicates stronger investment quality based on AI-powered fundamental analysis.

What does Tradeweb Markets Inc do?

Tradeweb Markets Inc is a company characterized by the following investment thesis: Tradeweb Markets Inc. builds and operates electronic marketplaces in the United States and internationally. The company offers marketplaces that facilitate trading products across various asset classes, including rates, credit, equities, and money markets. It also provides pre-trade data and analytics, such as AI-Price, SNAP+, iNAV for ETFs, integrations, and LSEG market data; and trade execution comprising request-for-quote, request-for-market, request-for-stream, list trading, compression, blast all-to-all, click-to-trade, portfolio trading, session-based, central limit order book, bilateral firm streams, inventory-based, rematch, voice, futures vs. cash spreading, and dealer algorithmic suite. In addition, the company offers trade processing; and post-trade data, analytics, and reporting, which include transaction cost analysis, benchmark prices, and APA. It serves institutional, wholesale, retail, and corporate clients, such as asset managers, hedge funds, insurance companies, central banks, banks and dealers, proprietary trading firms, retail brokerage and financial advisory firms, regional dealers, and corporations. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Tradeweb Markets Inc. is a subsidiary of Refinitiv Parent Limited. Tradeweb Markets Inc operates in the Financial Services / Capital Markets industry is based in USA employs around 1,598 people. Tradeweb Markets Inc recently reported revenue of about 2.16B USD, a profit margin of 40.29%, return on equity of 14.24%, a market capitalisation around 21.94B USD, valuation multiples of roughly 24.8x earnings, 9.9x sales, 3.1x book value. Analyst consensus currently expects earnings per share of around 4.61 USD with year‑over‑year growth of 13.02%. Tradeweb Markets Inc has an ongoing dividend policy and pays around 0.50 USD per share (0.51% yield).

What are the key metrics for TW.NASDAQ?

Key metrics for TW.NASDAQ include valuation (P/E 40.2, P/S 11.8, P/B 3.8), profitability (profit margin 28.90%, ROE 9.80%), and growth (revenue 26.70%, earnings 29.10%). Market capitalization is 22.76B USD. These metrics give an overview of the company's financial performance and valuation.

How has Tradeweb Markets Inc's stock price performed?

Tradeweb Markets Inc's stock has returned — over 1 year, — over 3 years, and — over 5 years. Performance can vary depending on market conditions and company developments.

How is TW.NASDAQ valued?

TW.NASDAQ has the following valuation metrics: P/E Ratio: 40.2, P/S Ratio: 11.8, P/B Ratio: 3.8. These metrics help assess whether the stock is fairly valued compared to its fundamentals.

What are the growth catalysts for Tradeweb Markets Inc?

The key growth catalysts for Tradeweb Markets Inc are:
  • Renewal of the LSEG market data agreement for three years with 9% annual sales growth
  • Further product launches in digital assets and fully electronic trading systems
  • Acceleration of international expansion, particularly in emerging markets and the APAC region
  • Possible market volatility would significantly increase trading volumes and thus turnover
These factors can positively influence the company's future growth and performance.

What are the key risks when investing in TW.NASDAQ?

Key risks for TW.NASDAQ include: Tradeweb Markets operates global electronic marketplaces for fixed-income, rates and derivatives. Its competitive landscape spans specialist fixed-income venues, large exchange groups and interdealer brokers—with public competitors including MarketAxess, ICE, CME, LSEG, Cboe and BGC. Private fintechs and data/execution providers like Bloomberg L.P., Trumid, Liquidnet and Zanbato also compete for institutional flow. The company's transaction-fee model ties revenue directly to trading volumes and market volatility, creating exposure to regulatory shifts and operational or cyber risk.
  • Competition risk stems from market-share erosion and fee compression, driven by specialist electronic fixed-income venues, integrated exchanges (MarketAxess, Bloomberg, ICE, CME, LSEG), and interdealer brokers.
  • Transaction-fee revenue and margins move in lockstep with institutional trading volumes and market volatility. Prolonged periods of low activity would compress revenues materially.
  • Regulatory risk: Changes to trading-venue rules, mandatory clearing requirements, trade reporting standards, or antitrust enforcement could materially increase compliance costs or constrain product offerings.
  • Operational and cybersecurity risks pose real threats: outages and latency failures can disrupt trading activity, while cyberattacks risk damaging client relationships and exposing the firm to fines and contractual liabilities.
Investors should consider these risk factors carefully before making an investment decision.

Who are the main competitors of Tradeweb Markets Inc?

Tradeweb Markets Inc competes with several listed peers in its sector. Tradeweb operates as a global multi-asset electronic marketplace spanning rates, credit, equities, and money markets. It competes across execution, post-trade services, and market data analytics. The competitive landscape includes specialist fixed-income venues and exchange groups offering integrated trading, clearing, and data services, alongside private competitors in terminal data and all-to-all credit platforms. The business carries real exposure to dealer concentration and volume sensitivity, while regulatory shifts and competitive moves can materially reshape economics. Technology and third-party data dependencies present operational risk, and the push into digital assets remains an unproven vector.
  • MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX.NASDAQ)
  • Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE.NYSE)
These competitors influence pricing power, growth opportunities and relative valuation.

When does Tradeweb Markets Inc report earnings?

Tradeweb Markets Inc's next earnings report date is July 30, 2026.

Key Metrics

From recommendation (October 31, 2025)

Market Capitalization
22.76B USD
P/E Ratio
40.21
Analyst Target Price
133.33 USD

Valuation Metrics

P/S Ratio
11.78
P/B Ratio
3.78

Profitability Metrics

Profit Margin
28.90%
Operating Margin
38.91%
Return on Equity
9.80%
Return on Assets
8.27%

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth
26.70%
Earnings Growth
29.10%

Dividend history

Long-term record of paid dividends (amount per share and dividend yield at the time of payment).

YearDividendYield at paymentAvg. yield
20260.14 USD0.14%0.1%
20260.14 USD0.11%
20250.12 USD0.11%
20250.12 USD0.10%
20250.12 USD0.08%
20250.12 USD0.09%
20240.10 USD0.07%
20240.10 USD0.08%
20240.10 USD0.09%
20240.10 USD0.09%
20230.09 USD0.09%
20230.09 USD0.10%
20230.09 USD0.13%
20230.09 USD0.13%
20220.08 USD0.14%

Earnings history & estimates

Historical earnings performance shows how consistently the company meets or exceeds analyst expectations. Forward estimates provide insight into expected profitability and growth trajectory.

Historical earnings performance

55.2%
Beat estimate
6.9%
Miss estimate
+4.51%
Avg surprise when beat
-1.68%
Avg surprise when miss

Reports analyzed: 29

Upcoming earnings report

July 30, 2026
Next earnings date · USD

Analyst estimates for upcoming periods

Next year
December 31, 2027
Consensus4.61
Range4.15 – 5.10
14 analysts
Est. growth vs prior: 13.02%
Revisions: 7d ↑1 ↓0 · 30d ↑0 ↓2
Next quarter
September 30, 2026
Consensus1.00
Range0.94 – 1.06
12 analysts
Est. growth vs prior: 15.07%
Revisions: 7d ↑1 ↓0 · 30d ↑2 ↓0

Key financial figures

All figures in USD

Selected income statement, balance sheet and cash flow figures. Annual and quarterly, based on reported IFRS/GAAP financials.

20252024202320222021
Revenue2.05B1.73B1.34B1.19B1.08B
Operating income (EBIT)845.12M678.03M505.27M412.57M360.42M
Net income812.79M501.51M364.87M309.34M226.83M
Free cash flow1.13B856.78M684.33M572.73M526.67M
Total assets8.19B7.27B7.06B6.26B5.99B
Equity6.51B5.80B5.37B4.95B4.65B
Net debt-1.81B-1.31B-1.66B-1.23B-948.72M
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