Leeway Blog - Stock Analysis and Market Commentary

Expert knowledge for successful investments. Articles on technical and fundamental market and stock analysis.

07.07.2026

Analytics API: Screener, Metrics & Historical Valuation via REST

Anyone who needs historical valuation metrics or screener results normally has to parse quarterly reports, adjust for stock splits, and match all of it against daily closing prices. The Analytics API takes that work off your hands. It delivers pre-calculated, analysis-ready data across five specialized endpoints. One package, no data-engineering pipeline of your own required.


07.07.2026

Financial Forecast API: Structured Revenue, Cash Flow, and EPS Projections for Over 50,000 Stocks

Leeway's new Forecast API delivers exactly this structure: revenue, earnings, cash flow, EPS, and multiples. Quarterly and annually, for twelve quarters and three years into the future, for over 50,000 stocks worldwide. A single REST call returns a clean JSON object ready for immediate further processing.


20.02.2026

AI in financial analysis: why "smart" doesn't always mean "right"

Large language models hallucinate more often than you think when it comes to financial data. The problem is that they sound absolutely convincing. How to create AI-supported analyses at a professional level with the right architecture - without falling for expensive mistakes.


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26.10.2025

Which artificial intelligence for equity analysis? Comparison of ChatGPT et. al.

ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity - which AI is best suited for equity analysis? The answer: Each has its strengths, but none can do everything. We show which tool is really suitable for which purpose - and why a combination of specialized systems ultimately enables better decisions to be made.


10.03.2025

What does KI say about the exploratory talks?

While the planned 500 billion investment offensive by the CDU, CSU and SPD promises economic impetus in the short term, Germany is in danger of sinking into a debt trap in the long term and missing out on structural reforms. Although the coalition compromise cleverly caters to different groups of voters, it postpones the really difficult decisions to the future - with potentially serious consequences for competitiveness, demographic development and financial stability.


26.01.2025

Trump 2. 0: What does the return mean for Europe and the markets?

Trump is back - and with him new challenges for Europe and the markets. How do his political decisions influence the transatlantic partnership and what opportunities does this present? Read now how we can benefit from the geopolitical changes!


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08.10.2024

Deutsche Telekom: avant-garde Stock Fund - "Investments Explained"

Deutsche Telekom, once a symbol of the TMT bubble and with a share price loss of over 90% after it burst, has transformed itself into a global leader in the telecommunications market. Today, the company generates more profits than all other European competitors combined and ranks 11th in the global ranking of the most valuable brands. On 10. and 11. October 2024 Telekom presents its new goals - an opportunity not to be missed! Is the share an attractive investment?


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Market Commentary

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Two conversations about one currency



Washington spent yesterday talking about the dollar; Beijing has been quietly building an alternative. The Fed opened its two-day conference on the international roles of the dollar — an official event, but academic and by invitation, with stablecoins, tokenization and digital assets high on the agenda. Set against the PBOC's recently launched facility letting foreign central banks tap yuan liquidity against Chinese government bonds, and the LME's plan f…Mehr …

The premium is out, the politics aren't



The shaky Gulf truce now has paperwork. A US–Iran interim memorandum reopened the Strait of Hormuz and lifted the naval blockade, opening a 60-day negotiating window. Crude softened further in Asian trade, back in the mid-70s after spiking toward 90 earlier this month, while gold still caught a haven bid. The war premium that was quietly taxing every risk asset is largely gone.

Read the small print before relaxing. This isn't a clean return to the pr…Mehr …

The risk dial turned down



A reported Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire took hold late Friday, pulling the most immediate escalation trigger out of crude and Gulf shipping. Oil, which had spiked toward the low 90s during the worst of the tension, drifted back into the mid-70s. That war premium had been quietly taxing every risk asset, and its removal let Asia run; the Nikkei pushed to a record. One caveat worth keeping: several reports already flagged violations and resumed strikes. Truces like thi…Mehr …

Policy stopped pretending



The week's real story is a synchronized step away from easing. At its June 17 meeting the Fed held, shortened its statement, removed the easing bias, and revised its year-end projections higher—the dot-plot moved, and the question shifted from "when do cuts start?" to "how long do we sit here, with hike risk?" The BoJ continued normalizing (a slower taper paired with tighter guidance, not a sudden purchase cut), with the 10Y JGB near multi-decade highs. The ECB hike…Mehr …

The premium is gone before the signature



The US–Iran memorandum is reported for signing today. The text isn't public and Hormuz reopening timelines remain unconfirmed, so treat the implementing detail as conditional. Markets didn't wait: crude has fallen from the low-90s last week toward the mid-70s, and that single move is doing the heavy lifting. Cheaper energy pulls headline inflation lower (less near-term CPI fear), which is why Wall Street closed firmly higher and Asia ran into Friday …Mehr …

The signal: two banks, one direction



The week's tell isn't a single print. It's two central banks pulling the same way, away from the cuts the market had penciled in. The ECB hiked 25bp to a 2.25% deposit rate, revising its inflation path higher and naming the Middle East energy shock directly. The Fed shortened its statement, dropped the easing bias, and nudged its rate path up — a communication shift more than a single move. Both rhyme: energy reseeding inflation, policymakers leaning agai…Mehr …

The signal was hawkish, not gentle



The honest base case had been higher-for-longer that eases gently. Warsh delivered something firmer. The Fed held at 3.50–3.75% as expected, but the statement was pared back, the easing bias removed, and the median dot now points to at least one hike before year-end (the SEP also lifted year-end inflation). The gap between "cuts coming" and "cuts merely possible" didn't just close — it tilted the other way.

US equities surrendered their intraday gains int…Mehr …

The relief is real, the normalization is not


The de-escalation has settled into the baseline, but be precise about what's actually moving. Only a handful of mostly pre-arranged vessels have passed through the Strait of Hormuz; most operators are waiting on the formal signing (reported for June 19) and clearer terms, including a 60-day charge-free transit window. Insurance, mine-clearance and operator confidence mean full flow normalization could take weeks to months. Crude kept sliding towar…Mehr …

The premium left fast, the floor holds


Monday confirmed the relief. US equities firmed, the VIX dropped back toward the mid-teens (cheaper hedging, calmer tape), and Tokyo extended its run to fresh record highs overnight as the high-beta proxy for global risk. Crude tells the cleaner story: from roughly $95 a week ago to near $80, a war premium that built over weeks gone in days.

What's notable this morning is that crude isn't falling further — it sits just above Monday's low, with small bo…Mehr …

From signal to text


Over the weekend the US–Iran framework firmed from a signal into a reported "final, agreed" text, with a signing flagged for later this week. Treat it as conditional — approvals and verification still pending — but the market isn't waiting. Crude extended Friday's slide (WTI down around 5%), equity futures rose into Europe's open, and Tokyo ripped over 5% as the high-beta proxy for global risk caught the relief first. A war premium that took weeks to build is leaving in d…Mehr …

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