Leeway Blog - Stock Analysis and Market Commentary

Expert knowledge for successful investments. Articles on technical and fundamental market and stock analysis.

07.07.2026

Analytics API: Screener, Metrics & Historical Valuation via REST

Anyone who needs historical valuation metrics or screener results normally has to parse quarterly reports, adjust for stock splits, and match all of it against daily closing prices. The Analytics API takes that work off your hands. It delivers pre-calculated, analysis-ready data across five specialized endpoints. One package, no data-engineering pipeline of your own required.


07.07.2026

Financial Forecast API: Structured Revenue, Cash Flow, and EPS Projections for Over 50,000 Stocks

Leeway's new Forecast API delivers exactly this structure: revenue, earnings, cash flow, EPS, and multiples. Quarterly and annually, for twelve quarters and three years into the future, for over 50,000 stocks worldwide. A single REST call returns a clean JSON object ready for immediate further processing.


20.02.2026

AI in financial analysis: why "smart" doesn't always mean "right"

Large language models hallucinate more often than you think when it comes to financial data. The problem is that they sound absolutely convincing. How to create AI-supported analyses at a professional level with the right architecture - without falling for expensive mistakes.


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26.10.2025

Which artificial intelligence for equity analysis? Comparison of ChatGPT et. al.

ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity - which AI is best suited for equity analysis? The answer: Each has its strengths, but none can do everything. We show which tool is really suitable for which purpose - and why a combination of specialized systems ultimately enables better decisions to be made.


10.03.2025

What does KI say about the exploratory talks?

While the planned 500 billion investment offensive by the CDU, CSU and SPD promises economic impetus in the short term, Germany is in danger of sinking into a debt trap in the long term and missing out on structural reforms. Although the coalition compromise cleverly caters to different groups of voters, it postpones the really difficult decisions to the future - with potentially serious consequences for competitiveness, demographic development and financial stability.


26.01.2025

Trump 2. 0: What does the return mean for Europe and the markets?

Trump is back - and with him new challenges for Europe and the markets. How do his political decisions influence the transatlantic partnership and what opportunities does this present? Read now how we can benefit from the geopolitical changes!


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08.10.2024

Deutsche Telekom: avant-garde Stock Fund - "Investments Explained"

Deutsche Telekom, once a symbol of the TMT bubble and with a share price loss of over 90% after it burst, has transformed itself into a global leader in the telecommunications market. Today, the company generates more profits than all other European competitors combined and ranks 11th in the global ranking of the most valuable brands. On 10. and 11. October 2024 Telekom presents its new goals - an opportunity not to be missed! Is the share an attractive investment?


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Market Commentary

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The rescue lasted one session



Wednesday's buyback expansion pushed the 30-year toward 5.20%. By Thursday's US close it sat near 5.24%, the 10-year near 4.70%. Scott Bessent said operations could exceed $4bn per issue. Useful scale: the larger operations run 9 September to 4 November and add roughly $14bn over the quarter against more than $40tn outstanding. That is liquidity support in older, less traded bonds, not relief on what has to be funded.

Mary Daly supplied the sentence that matte…Mehr …

Two signals within an hour



The July FOMC minutes, released Wednesday, recorded that many participants judged a further hike would be needed if inflation does not keep declining. The target range stayed at 3.50–3.75% on a 9–3 vote, the three dissenters wanting 25bp immediately. The minutes also noted that renewed Middle East tension has clouded the inflation outlook — the hawkish case with an energy fuse attached.

Then the Treasury said it will at least double per-operation buybacks in the …Mehr …

Oil spiked, the long end stayed



The US–Iran interim truce lapsed without a follow-on agreement. Trump said no talks are scheduled, the UAE suspended trade and financial dealings with Iran, France expelled two Iranian diplomats. The status of Hormuz itself is contested: Washington says shipping is moving, Tehran says the strait stays shut until conditions are met. Crude traded above $90 during the US session and has eased to around $84.50 this morning.

Oil gave much of it back. Long yields …Mehr …

The deadline passed without a bridge



The US–Iran interim ceasefire lapsed Monday with no extension arranged. Washington ruled out prolonging it, and an Iranian official told Reuters the posture moves from defensive to "fully offensive". Worth holding onto: neither side has resumed open hostilities and mediators remain involved, so what markets are pricing is deadlock, not renewed war. Crude near $85 carries that ambiguity. The transmission into portfolios runs first through Hormuz war-risk …Mehr …

The streak ended on the import bill



European shares closed out a four-week winning run on Friday, with the STOXX 600 slightly lower over the week. The pressure came from outside the income statement: crude held near $82 after attacks on commercial vessels around Hormuz, with US officials indicating the elevated naval posture can be sustained indefinitely. Underneath, results held. Euro-area Q2 GDP was confirmed around +0.4% q/q, and forward earnings estimates for the index sit at their stro…Mehr …

Two clocks running opposite ways



July retail sales fell 0.6%, the sharpest monthly drop in over a year, and preliminary August Michigan sentiment dropped to about 51 from 55.2. Futures trimmed September Fed hike odds to under roughly 40%, the dollar softened and gold firmed. That is the front end relaxing. The long end did the reverse: Thursday's 30-year auction stopped at 5.216%, the highest since 2001, a day after a 10-year cleared at its weakest level since the eve of the financial crisi…Mehr …

Two inflation prints, one gap



July CPI came in at 3.4% headline and 2.5% core, and producer prices were flat. Enough to take September hike odds sharply lower. The complication is that CPI is not the gauge the committee targets; PCE has been running higher, and private nowcasts still put it in the 3s. The −23k July payroll bought no easing either, because the hiring rate needed to hold unemployment steady has fallen close to zero. Weak jobs now read as shrinking labour supply rather than co…Mehr …

The headline was soft, the core was not



July producer prices came in flat month-on-month, +4.7% year-on-year. Goods fell 0.7% with gasoline down 5.7%. But core producer prices, excluding food, energy and trade services, rose 0.4%. Wholesale prices feed shop prices with a lag, so this matters for the September Fed decision. The composition tells you the relief was energy, and energy is the least reliable disinflation available right now.

The Gulf answered within hours



Overnight the UAE…Mehr …

The print landed where it needed to



July CPI, out Wednesday afternoon US time, cooled to 3.4% year-on-year with core at 2.5%, close to consensus. The relevance is positional rather than economic. Since May the priced risk has been an autumn hike, not a cut, so an in-line number removes tail risk without adding easing. The VIX slipped under 15 and futures firmed overnight. What one soft print does not settle is the long end, and that remains the discount rate applied to anything refinancing …Mehr …

The chokepoint premium is doing the work



Iran and Oman brought their maritime talks close to a final text, with route coordinates and a joint statement in review. Reopening the Strait, however, is tied to conditions Tehran wants Washington to meet, so technical progress and political blockage sit on separate tracks. Crude added roughly a percent overnight and is up about ten percent on the week; gold pushed toward $4,470. Equities did close to nothing in either direction. The variance remai…Mehr …

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