Recommended as Stock of the Week on April 20, 2026

Vopak: The world's most boring business model - and that's a compliment

TickerVPK.AS
Recommended Price42.46 EUR
Current Price 42.46 EUR
Koninklijke Vopak NV – stock chart

Scores at time of recommendation (April 20, 2026)

Leeway Score
63/100
Excellent
Business Rating
53/100
Excellent
Market-Fit Rating
71/100
Excellent
Cycle Rating
66/100
Excellent

More about our scores in Help

5-year stock timeline

2026 Jul 30 – Q2 / H1 2026 strong operational beat and guidance raise

Vopak reported strong H1 2026 operational results marked by high occupancy and cash returns, then raised FY2026 EBITDA and operating free cash flow guidance. An interim dividend of EUR 0.72 was announced alongside continued share-return programs [14][15].

Market perception shifted toward viewing the company as a quality cash-compounder as growth projects came online and cash generation held resilient despite geopolitical headwinds. Investor attention moved to distribution growth plus buybacks. Shares reacted positively to the upgraded guidance and interim dividend, extending the multi-year uptrend that had been driven by improving fundamentals [14][15].

2026 Feb 25 – FY2025 record financial results and enhanced shareholder distribution program

Vopak reported record FY2025 proportional EBITDA of EUR 1,184m and operating free cash flow of EUR 823m. A dividend of EUR 1.80 per share was proposed (paid in 2026) and a shareholder distributions package of roughly EUR 1.7bn through 2030 was announced, consisting of progressive dividends plus up to EUR 500m in buybacks [5][2][12].

Investor perception crystallized around the portfolio transformation — a higher quality revenue mix with more gas and industrial exposure, strong cash conversion, and a clear capital-return policy. The narrative shifted from restructuring to cash-returning growth. The stock entered a stronger uptrend on the record results and clear capital-return plan, which reduced value-trap concerns [2][12].

2025 – Active portfolio rotation, multiple FIDs and commissioning progress

Numerous FIDs and project commissioning progressed throughout the year, including an LPG export facility in Western Canada, GATE tank and jetty in the Netherlands, and expansions in India, Brazil, China, Thailand, Malaysia, and Colombia. Roughly EUR 553m was committed to investment in 2025. Divestments and portfolio moves, including earlier chemical-terminal disposals, continued to reallocate capital toward gas, industrial and energy-transition infrastructure [1][3].

The market increasingly framed Vopak as a capital allocator focused on long-term contracted gas and industrial infrastructure with selective energy-transition exposure. Credibility improved as commissioned projects began contributing to cash flow. Share price showed steady appreciation as project contributions and cash returns became credible [1].

2024 Apr 24 – Executive Board reshuffle: COO steps down

Frits Eulderink (COO) stepped down as member of the Executive Board effective 24 April 2024 while remaining available for transition until mid-2025. The Executive Board continued with CEO Dick Richelle and CFO Michiel Gilsing [10].

Investors monitored governance and execution risk during the transition, though management continuity at CEO and CFO level and clarity on strategy limited adverse sentiment. The expectation was that strategy execution would continue uninterrupted. The stock saw some volatility around the governance news but no sustained downtrend as fundamentals remained intact [10].

2023 Sep–Dec – Strategic portfolio review outcomes and divestment of Rotterdam chemical terminals

Following a strategic review initiated in February 2023, Vopak agreed to sell three chemical terminals in Rotterdam to Infracapital with expected net cash receipts of roughly EUR 368m. Steps were completed to become a 50% shareholder in EemsEnergyTerminal, an LNG import terminal. These divestments were part of active portfolio rebalancing [8][7].

The market saw the actions as crystallizing value and refocusing on higher-return gas and industrial infrastructure. Near-term earnings volatility arose from divestments and impairment reversals, but overall portfolio quality perception improved. The share price experienced a pullback around realization of asset-level impairments and sale mechanics, followed by recovery as proceeds were redeployed and guidance clarified [8][7].

2022 – Strategy pivot: explicit ambition for gas, industrial and energy-transition infrastructure

Vopak set out an ambition to invest roughly EUR 4bn in gas, industrial and energy-transition infrastructure by 2030. The operating-cash-return ambition was raised with targets later refined, and selective growth investments and portfolio pruning were accelerated [1].

Market perception shifted from a legacy chemical-storage operator toward a broader energy-infrastructure platform with a higher share of long-term contracted cash flows. Investors began valuing cash returns and project optionality more highly. The stock entered a multi-quarter base that later developed into an uptrend as the strategic pivot gained traction [1].

2021 – Dividend baseline and initial share-return progress

Dividend per share was EUR 1.20 in 2021 (the base year used in management's dividend-track record). From 2021 through 2025, Vopak returned roughly EUR 1.2bn to shareholders through progressive dividends and buybacks, and reduced share count by roughly 8% via cumulative buyback programs [2][1].

Investors began re-rating Vopak as a reliable dividend payer returning capital to shareholders while pursuing growth projects. The company moved from purely defensive storage exposure toward a cash-returning growth profile. Share price remained largely stable with gradual appreciation as distributions and early project pipelines increased investor confidence [1][2].

[14][15][5][2][12][1][3][10][8][7]

Key Points

From recommendation (April 20, 2026)

  • P/E ratio of around 8 with a net margin of over 46% - this is not a mistake, this is an opportunity
  • EBIT margin at just under 48% in 2025, a steady improvement on 34% in 2023
  • EPS growth expected: from EUR 3.17 (2025e) to EUR 3.79 (2026e)
  • Analyst price target of EUR 51.90 compared to the current price of EUR 42.32
  • Equity ratio stable at around 46% - solid balance sheet structure
  • Tank farms in strategic port locations: almost impossible to replicate, permits difficult to obtain
  • Transformation towards new energy sources underway - cautious but targeted

Investment Thesis

From recommendation (April 20, 2026)

Vopak is not a glamorous company - it stores liquids. But that's exactly what makes it interesting. Those who occupy the best places in the world's most important ports do not need to make any big promises of growth. The infrastructure is there, customers are staying, margins are rising. With a P/E ratio of around 8 and a net margin of over 46%, the question is not so much whether Vopak is a good company, but rather why the market has not yet fully priced this in.

Key risks and downside factors

Koninklijke Vopak (VPK.AS) operates tank storage terminals globally, serving liquid bulk, chemicals, LNG, and oil products. It competes against other independent terminal operators and integrated logistics or energy midstream companies. Demand and competitive positioning depend on global trade flows, the shift toward energy transition assets like LNG and biofuels, and the pace of new terminal capacity coming online. The business carries exposure to commodity price swings and throughput volatility, regulatory and environmental liabilities, execution risk on large capital projects, and disruption from geopolitical events or trade friction.

  • Throughput and commodity risk — demand and tariff revenues are exposed to global oil, chemical, and LNG flows, which can contract meaningfully when commodity volumes decline or price movements trigger inventory adjustments.
  • Terminals operate under regulatory and environmental constraints that shape both their economics and risk profile. Permitting requirements, increasingly stringent emissions and greenhouse gas standards, and the possibility of costly remediation or operational shutdowns following incidents all represent material liabilities that affect capital allocation and long-term viability [1].
  • Capital intensity and project execution present material risks. Large, lumpy capex for new terminals or expansions frequently encounters delays, cost overruns, or disappoints on utilization assumptions.
  • Geopolitical tensions and trade disruptions—whether through sanctions, trade barriers, or regional conflicts—can quickly constrain throughput at vulnerable terminals and pressure cash flows.

Competitive landscape

Koninklijke Vopak operates the world's largest independent network of tank terminals, storing and handling liquids and gases across oil products, chemicals, LNG, and biofuels [VPK.AS]. Competition stems primarily from specialist terminal operators and integrated energy companies with their own midstream and storage capabilities. The business faces material headwinds from volume volatility tied to global energy and chemical demand cycles, regulatory and environmental pressures on fossil fuel infrastructure, execution risk on expansion projects, and exposure to commodity price swings and counterparty defaults.

Private competitors

  • Marquard & Bahls (parent of Oiltanking) — privately held group entities
  • Vitol Tank Terminals International (VTTI) — parts privately held or private JV structures
  • Zenith Energy Management (private terminal operator and midstream services)

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Catalysts

From recommendation (April 20, 2026)

  • Further expansion into new energy sources (LNG, ammonia, hydrogen) with concrete project announcements
  • Increasing utilization of existing terminals as global demand for energy rises
  • Potential dividend increase or share buybacks with continued strong cash generation
  • Reassessment by the market as soon as the margin profile is perceived more broadly
  • Regulatory tailwind from energy security debates in Europe

Analysis

From recommendation (April 20, 2026)

Vopak's strength lies in geography and regulation: in practice, it is almost impossible to obtain permission for new tank terminals in prime port locations, which makes existing sites permanent assets. Long-standing customer relationships and specific expertise in the safe handling of hazardous substances further strengthen this position - competitors can effectively only enter the market through takeovers. The key financial figures back this up: the EBIT margin has improved from 34% in 2023 to just under 48% in 2025, the net margin is over 46% and the equity ratio is solid at around 46%. On the other hand, the management is solid, but not visionary - CEO Dick Richelle knows the company inside out, which means stability, but also harbors the risk of a certain operational blindness. The strategic realignment towards new energy sources such as hydrogen and ammonia is being approached with deliberate caution, which is sensible in a market that is still immature, but limits the growth horizon for the time being. The sharp decline in sales growth of -35.7% deserves attention, but must be assessed in the context of portfolio adjustments and divestments - the margin trend tells a different, more positive story. Overall, Vopak is a company that does not need headlines to create value - and that can be the decisive advantage for patient investors.

Performance Figures of Koninklijke Vopak NV

in EUR

1M High / Low
49.50 / 45.84
52W High / Low
49.50 / 36.58
5Y High / Low
49.50 / 18.14
1M
+1.02%
3M
+4.14%
6M
+11.76%
1Y
+20.16%
3Y
+62.88%
5Y
+63.61%

Relative Performance vs Benchmarks

PeriodKoninklijke Vopak NV vs DAX vs S&P 500 (SPY)
1M +1.02% -5.46% -3.43%
3M +4.14% -4.63% -1.23%
6M +11.76% +5.99% -2.54%
1Y +20.16% +11.62% -1.83%
3Y +62.88% -5.78% -21.82%
5Y +63.61% -2.45% -23.46%

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Historical valuation trends

How the company’s key valuation ratios (P/E, P/S, P/B and P/CF) have evolved over time compared to today.

PeriodP/E RatioP/S RatioP/B RatioP/CF Ratio
Current15.54.11.77.0
1Y ago10.13.71.75.3
3Y ago12.73.81.45.0
5Y ago13.82.51.55.1

Frequently Asked Questions

From recommendation (April 20, 2026)

Is Koninklijke Vopak NV a good investment?

Koninklijke Vopak NV has a Leeway Score of 63.3/100, which is rated as Excellent. The Leeway Score combines business quality, fundamental evaluation, and valuation cycle into a comprehensive assessment. A higher score indicates stronger investment quality based on AI-powered fundamental analysis.

What does Koninklijke Vopak NV do?

Koninklijke Vopak NV is a company characterized by the following investment thesis: Koninklijke Vopak N.V., an independent tank storage company, stores and handles liquid chemicals, gases, and oil products to the energy and manufacturing markets worldwide. It operates gas, industrial, chemical, and oil terminals and owns and operates facilities consisting of tanks, jetties, truck loading stations, and pipelines. The company also stores and handles chemicals, such as methanol, xylenes, styrene, alpha olefins, and mono-ethylene glycol; gas, including liquefied natural gas, liquid petroleum gas, ethylene, butadiene, and ammonia; oil products consisting of crude oil, fuel oil, diesel, jet fuel, gasoline, and naphtha; and vegoils and biofuels comprising ethanol, biodiesel, and sustainable aviation fuel. In addition, it is involved in the development of infrastructure solutions for hydrogen, ammonia, CO2, battery energy storage, and low-carbon fuels and feedstocks. It serves producers, manufacturers, distributors, governments, and traders. The company was founded in 1616 and is based in Rotterdam, the Netherlands. Koninklijke Vopak N.V. operates as a subsidiary of HAL Trust. Koninklijke Vopak NV operates in the Energy / Oil & Gas Midstream industry is based in Netherlands employs around 4,794 people. Koninklijke Vopak NV recently reported revenue of about 1.34B EUR, a profit margin of 35.31%, return on equity of 15.44%, a market capitalisation around 5.47B EUR, valuation multiples of roughly 11.6x earnings, 4.1x sales, 1.6x book value. Analyst consensus currently expects earnings per share of around 3.79 EUR with year‑over‑year growth of 15.29%. Koninklijke Vopak NV has an ongoing dividend policy and pays around 1.80 EUR per share (3.82% yield).

What are the key metrics for VPK.AS?

Key metrics for VPK.AS include valuation (P/E 8, P/S 3.7, P/B 1.5), profitability (profit margin 46.09%, ROE 19.01%), and growth (revenue -35.70%, earnings 207.10%). Market capitalization is 4.85B EUR. These metrics give an overview of the company's financial performance and valuation.

How has Koninklijke Vopak NV's stock price performed?

Koninklijke Vopak NV's stock has returned — over 1 year, — over 3 years, and — over 5 years. Performance can vary depending on market conditions and company developments.

How is VPK.AS valued?

VPK.AS has the following valuation metrics: P/E Ratio: 8, P/S Ratio: 3.7, P/B Ratio: 1.5. These metrics help assess whether the stock is fairly valued compared to its fundamentals.

What are the growth catalysts for Koninklijke Vopak NV?

The key growth catalysts for Koninklijke Vopak NV are:
  • Further expansion into new energy sources (LNG, ammonia, hydrogen) with concrete project announcements
  • Increasing utilization of existing terminals as global demand for energy rises
  • Potential dividend increase or share buybacks with continued strong cash generation
  • Reassessment by the market as soon as the margin profile is perceived more broadly
  • Regulatory tailwind from energy security debates in Europe
These factors can positively influence the company's future growth and performance.

What are the key risks when investing in VPK.AS?

Key risks for VPK.AS include: Koninklijke Vopak (VPK.AS) operates tank storage terminals globally, serving liquid bulk, chemicals, LNG, and oil products. It competes against other independent terminal operators and integrated logistics or energy midstream companies. Demand and competitive positioning depend on global trade flows, the shift toward energy transition assets like LNG and biofuels, and the pace of new terminal capacity coming online. The business carries exposure to commodity price swings and throughput volatility, regulatory and environmental liabilities, execution risk on large capital projects, and disruption from geopolitical events or trade friction.
  • Throughput and commodity risk — demand and tariff revenues are exposed to global oil, chemical, and LNG flows, which can contract meaningfully when commodity volumes decline or price movements trigger inventory adjustments.
  • Terminals operate under regulatory and environmental constraints that shape both their economics and risk profile. Permitting requirements, increasingly stringent emissions and greenhouse gas standards, and the possibility of costly remediation or operational shutdowns following incidents all represent material liabilities that affect capital allocation and long-term viability [1].
  • Capital intensity and project execution present material risks. Large, lumpy capex for new terminals or expansions frequently encounters delays, cost overruns, or disappoints on utilization assumptions.
  • Geopolitical tensions and trade disruptions—whether through sanctions, trade barriers, or regional conflicts—can quickly constrain throughput at vulnerable terminals and pressure cash flows.
Investors should consider these risk factors carefully before making an investment decision.

Who are the main competitors of Koninklijke Vopak NV?

Koninklijke Vopak NV competes with several listed peers in its sector. Koninklijke Vopak operates the world's largest independent network of tank terminals, storing and handling liquids and gases across oil products, chemicals, LNG, and biofuels [VPK.AS]. Competition stems primarily from specialist terminal operators and integrated energy companies with their own midstream and storage capabilities. The business faces material headwinds from volume volatility tied to global energy and chemical demand cycles, regulatory and environmental pressures on fossil fuel infrastructure, execution risk on expansion projects, and exposure to commodity price swings and counterparty defaults.
  • Odfjell SE (ODF.OL)
  • Buckeye Partners, L.P. (BPL.NYSE)
  • Vopak peer: Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI.NYSE)
  • Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (infrastructure/storage peer) (PAGP.NYSE)
  • Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD.NYSE)
These competitors influence pricing power, growth opportunities and relative valuation.

When does Koninklijke Vopak NV report earnings?

Koninklijke Vopak NV's next earnings report date is February 26, 2027.

Key Metrics

From recommendation (April 20, 2026)

Market Capitalization
4.85B EUR
P/E Ratio
8.03
Analyst Target Price
51.90 EUR

Valuation Metrics

P/S Ratio
3.74
P/B Ratio
1.49

Profitability Metrics

Profit Margin
46.09%
Operating Margin
-15.46%
Return on Equity
19.01%
Return on Assets
3.43%

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth
-35.70%
Earnings Growth
207.10%

Dividend history

Long-term record of paid dividends (amount per share and dividend yield at the time of payment).

YearDividendYield at paymentAvg. yield
20260.72 EUR2.99%
20261.80 EUR4.23%
20251.60 EUR4.31%
20241.50 EUR3.94%
20231.30 EUR3.73%
20221.25 EUR4.27%
20211.20 EUR3.10%
20201.15 EUR2.18%
20191.10 EUR2.57%
20181.05 EUR2.54%
20171.05 EUR2.52%
20161.00 EUR2.10%
20150.90 EUR1.82%
20140.90 EUR2.40%
20130.88 EUR2.10%

Earnings history & estimates

Historical earnings performance shows how consistently the company meets or exceeds analyst expectations. Forward estimates provide insight into expected profitability and growth trajectory.

Historical earnings performance

45%
Beat estimate
42.5%
Miss estimate
+9.38%
Avg surprise when beat
-15.29%
Avg surprise when miss

Reports analyzed: 40

Upcoming earnings report

February 26, 2027
Next earnings date

Analyst estimates for upcoming periods

Next year
December 31, 2027
Consensus3.79
Range3.51 – 4.19
4 analysts
Est. growth vs prior: 15.29%
Revisions: 7d ↑0 ↓0 · 30d ↑0 ↓2
Next quarter
June 30, 2026
Consensus0.77
Range0.77 – 0.77
1 analysts

Key financial figures

All figures in EUR

Selected income statement, balance sheet and cash flow figures. Annual and quarterly, based on reported IFRS/GAAP financials.

20252024202320222021
Revenue1.30B1.32B1.43B1.37B1.23B
Operating income (EBIT)381.70M617.80M478.70M360.90M240.90M
Net income604.00M375.70M455.70M-168.40M214.20M
Free cash flow438.80M573.40M452.20M332.30M85.70M
Total assets7.11B6.80B6.75B7.06B7.25B
Equity3.27B3.10B3.22B2.98B3.19B
Net debt2.70B2.67B2.29B3.05B2.93B
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