BASF SE

TickerBAS.XETRA
Current Price
BASF SE – stock chart

5-year stock timeline

BASF's last five years have been shaped by cyclical earnings pressure, energy shocks, geopolitical disruption, and a restructuring effort that's reset expectations. The stock has cycled between the mid-€40s and low-€70s, settling into the high-€40s by early 2026. The current price reflects progress on cost-cutting and portfolio cleanup, though confidence in a full demand recovery remains cautious.

2019–2020: Late cycle into pandemic

In 2019, BASF was already feeling late-cycle strain—profit warnings tied to industrial softness, auto weakness, and trade tensions shifted the narrative from steady compounder to cyclical pressure. Early 2020 brought the COVID demand collapse and a chemical margin shock. The stock sold off sharply with the market, then rebounded as stimulus and restocking supported volumes and earnings bounced back.

2021: Structural questions emerge

As global activity recovered, BASF's revenues and earnings improved, but the focus sharpened on structural issues: high capital intensity, Europe-heavy assets centered on Ludwigshafen, and rising energy and CO₂ costs. The stock traded a wide range as the narrative shifted to "value with structural headwinds"—rallies on cyclical optimism faded when gas prices spiked and deglobalization fears repriced European chemical competitiveness.

2022: Gas crisis and value-trap concerns

Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the European gas crisis hit sentiment hard. BASF's margins compressed and management announced job cuts and production reductions at Ludwigshafen to manage high input costs. Investor perception deteriorated toward a potential value trap as the stock broke down from prior ranges on fears of structurally higher European energy costs and stranded assets, despite management's emphasis on long-term Verbund advantages and China growth.

2023–2024: Restructuring and strategic reset

BASF accelerated restructuring—cost-savings programs, organizational streamlining, and portfolio actions moved forward. The large new Verbund site in Zhanjiang, China reached key startup milestones. By 2024, management laid out an updated strategy with stronger emphasis on portfolio pruning, capital discipline, and higher returns, shifting the narrative toward "turnaround with self-help momentum."

2025–early 2026: Portfolio actions and stabilization

2025 didn't develop as hoped, particularly in Q4, with demand softer than expected. BASF continued pushing asset sales, cost savings, and portfolio measures; analysts' fair-value estimates edged up on modestly better medium-term margin and growth assumptions. By early 2026, the stock traded in the high-€40s after a February rally on results and guidance sparked a 4%+ single-day move and follow-through before settling into consolidation.

The evolving story

The narrative shifted from cyclical quality name to structurally challenged European chemical operator, then toward self-help turnaround as restructuring and portfolio actions gained traction. Skepticism about a full demand recovery keeps sentiment balanced rather than euphoric. Technically, the chart shows a pre-COVID range, a 2020 crash and rebound, a broad sideways-to-down phase through the gas crisis with breakdowns on macro and energy headlines, and more recently a series of rallies and pullbacks between the low-€40s and low-€50s—a market still testing whether the worst is behind.

Key risks and downside factors

BAS.XETRA is the Xetra listing for BASF SE, one of the world's largest diversified chemical producers. The company competes globally across petrochemicals, performance materials, agricultural solutions, and specialty chemicals. Its peers are major integrated chemical and materials groups scattered across Europe, North America, the Middle East, and Asia—most operating at similar scale with comparable R&D capability and global reach. The business faces familiar headwinds. Demand cycles through peaks and troughs. Energy and feedstock costs swing unpredictably. The capital intensity required to operate at this scale means profitability and returns are perpetually hostage to these variables. On top of that, regulatory pressure on emissions and product safety keeps tightening, while the shift toward more sustainable chemistries isn't a temporary trend—it's reshaping the long-term economics of what the company actually does.

  • Cyclical exposure to global industrial and automotive demand creates meaningful downside risk—volumes and margins can compress sharply during economic slowdowns.
  • Highly exposed to swings in energy and petrochemical feedstock costs—natural gas and oil especially—which flow directly into production expenses and competitive positioning against lower-cost producers.
  • Intense competition from large integrated chemical producers and state-backed players who can undercut pricing or outinvest BASF in key growth markets.
  • Regulatory and environmental pressures are mounting across the EU and other jurisdictions, with decarbonization requirements and product safety rules potentially requiring significant capital investment and constraining certain product lines.

Competitive landscape

BAS.XETRA is BASF SE, one of the world's largest diversified chemical companies. They operate across petrochemicals, performance materials, agricultural solutions, and specialty chemicals on a genuinely global scale. The competition is fierce—major integrated chemical and petrochemical groups in Europe, North America, the Middle East, and Asia all operate at similar scale with comparable product ranges and R&D spending. The real pressures are cyclical. Demand in their core end-markets swings with economic conditions. They're also deeply exposed to energy and feedstock costs, which can move independently of their ability to pass those costs along. Rivals in lower-cost regions and those with structural cost advantages keep the margin environment tighter than you'd want. Add in the regulatory burden, sustainability requirements, and the sheer capital intensity of their operations, and you're looking at a business where long-term profitability and investment needs are fundamentally constrained by forces largely outside management's control.

Private competitors

  • INEOS Group Holdings SA

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Performance Figures of BASF SE

in EUR

1M High / Low
52.68 / 45.64
52W High / Low
55.06 / 37.40
5Y High / Low
72.88 / 37.40
1M
+2.98%
3M
+4.81%
6M
+6.05%
1Y
+1.31%
3Y
+16.94%
5Y
-9.09%

Relative Performance vs Benchmarks

PeriodBASF SE vs DAX vs S&P 500 (SPY)
1M +2.98% +2.58% +3.79%
3M +4.81% +0.90% +3.80%
6M +6.05% +1.63% -1.19%
1Y +1.31% -7.94% -15.57%
3Y +16.94% -41.21% -59.72%
5Y -9.09% -84.08% -101.87%

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Historical valuation trends

How the company’s key valuation ratios (P/E, P/S, P/B and P/CF) have evolved over time compared to today.

PeriodP/E RatioP/S RatioP/B RatioP/CF Ratio
Current154.70.71.37.8
1Y ago33.80.71.26.3
3Y ago-70.10.51.25.7
5Y ago-60.91.11.711.9

Key Metrics

Market Capitalization
43.47B EUR
P/E Ratio
143.24
Analyst Target Price

Valuation Metrics

P/S Ratio
0.73
P/B Ratio
1.33

Profitability Metrics

Profit Margin
2.71%
Operating Margin
-1.26%
Return on Equity
4.33%
Return on Assets
1.50%

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth
Earnings Growth

Dividend history

Long-term record of paid dividends (amount per share and dividend yield at the time of payment).

YearDividendYield at paymentAvg. yield
20252.25 EUR5.07%4.64%
20243.40 EUR6.67%
20233.40 EUR7.08%
20223.40 EUR6.74%
20213.30 EUR4.68%
20203.30 EUR7.07%
20193.20 EUR4.39%
20183.10 EUR3.57%
20173.00 EUR3.35%
20162.90 EUR4.02%
20152.80 EUR3.13%
20142.70 EUR3.21%
20132.60 EUR3.58%
20122.50 EUR3.83%
20112.20 EUR3.22%

Earnings history & estimates

Historical earnings performance shows how consistently the company meets or exceeds analyst expectations. Forward estimates provide insight into expected profitability and growth trajectory.

Historical earnings performance

57.4%
Beat estimate
41%
Miss estimate
+21.78%
Avg surprise when beat
-80.07%
Avg surprise when miss

Reports analyzed: 61

Upcoming earnings report

April 30, 2026
Next earnings date

Analyst estimates for upcoming periods

Next year
December 31, 2027
Consensus3.24
Range2.29 – 4.68
16 analysts
Est. growth vs prior: 28.54%
Revisions: 7d ↑1 ↓0 · 30d ↑3 ↓5
Next quarter
June 30, 2026
Consensus0.43
Range0.29 – 0.56
2 analysts
Est. growth vs prior: -11.46%
Revisions: 7d ↑0 ↓0 · 30d ↑0 ↓1

Key financial figures

All figures in EUR

Selected income statement, balance sheet and cash flow figures. Annual and quarterly, based on reported IFRS/GAAP financials.

20242023202220212020
Revenue65.26B68.90B87.33B78.60B59.15B
Operating income (EBIT)2.03B3.81B2.47B7.68B233.00M
Net income1.30B225.00M-391.00M5.52B-1.47B
Free cash flow748.00M2.72B3.33B3.71B2.28B
Total assets80.42B79.93B84.47B87.38B80.29B
Equity35.60B35.28B36.60B40.79B33.73B
Net debt21.08B18.72B18.43B16.51B16.86B
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